000 ABNT20 KNHC 240539 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NICARAGUA-HONDURAS BORDER. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA NEARING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY AT THIS TIME. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...THE LOW COULD PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH