000
ABNT20 KNHC 232339
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN...LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ABOUT 105 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NICARAGUA-HONDURAS BORDER.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 185 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
BARBADOS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND DEVELOPMENT...
IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...
THE LOW WILL PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
GUSTY WINDS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN