000
ABNT20 KNHC 201144
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST
OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE INCREASED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE
AND HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA