000
ABNT20 KNHC 092338
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR
DATA FROM MELBOURNE FLORIDA INDICATE THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS
LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL.  ALTHOUGH THIS
SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION...IT IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE CENTRAL
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES.  THE LOW IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH AND IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA BY MONDAY
MORNING...AND OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR NORTH
FLORIDA BY EARLY TUESDAY.  AS LONG AS THE LOW REMAINS OVER
WATER...THERE IS STILL SOME POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES TODAY AND MONDAY. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INLUDING WATCHES OR
WARNINGS...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.   

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI