000
ABNT20 KNHC 091133
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
 
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS INTO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS IS
PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...
AND WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN CUBA...
HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC WATERS. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE STILL SLOWLY
FALLING...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS
DISTURBANCE IN THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT
5 TO 10 MPH...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN