000
ABNT20 KNHC 262336
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 695 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF OPHELIA IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED.  THE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR
SUFFICIENTLY CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG