000
ABNT20 KNHC 261751
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

CLARIFIED DESCRIPTION OF UPPER-LEVEL WINDS

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A
COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF OPHELIA.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH