000
ABNT20 KNHC 261739
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A
COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF OPHELIA.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BECOME LESS UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD
AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH