000
ABNT20 KNHC 231748
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 635 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO INCREASING AND BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART