000 ABNT20 KNHC 221130 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1020 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE MONA PASSAGE IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PUERTO RICO. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH