000 ABNT20 KNHC 211131 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1370 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED...THIS LOW COULD BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON OPHELIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OPHELIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI