000
ABNT20 KNHC 210532
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA LOCATED ABOUT 1585 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES EAST OF 
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THIS LOW COULD BRING A BRIEF
PERIOD OF RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON OPHELIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OPHELIA
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT1.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN