000
ABNT20 KNHC 101742
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 10 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM MARIA NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...ON TROPICAL STORM
NATE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...AND HAS ISSUED THE THE LAST ADVISORY
ON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KATIA...LOCATED OVER THE FAR NORTH
ATLANTIC.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER 
ANTILLES IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.   

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN