000
ABNT20 KNHC 062351
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 335 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ON
NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN...LOCATED ABOUT 920 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...BUT SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES LITTLE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY...IF
NECESSARY.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
IS EXPECTED TO BRING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THESE ISLANDS
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...
AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN