000
ABNT20 KNHC 061131
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 680 MILES WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
LATER TODAY OR WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE HAVE INCREASED IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA