000
ABNT20 KNHC 010543
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1165 MILES EAST
OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...HAS CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  HOWEVER...
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE LATER TODAY...AND
THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD.  INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN