000
ABNT20 KNHC 310544
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 885 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER WESTERN
CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE.  THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE CENTRAL
OR WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN A FEW DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN