000
ABNT20 KNHC 290536
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM JOSE...LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRENE...LOCATED INLAND NEAR THE BORDER OF
QUEBEC AND WESTERN MAINE. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...
ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED LATER THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST
OF THE NORTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING ONLY
INTERMITTENT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON JOSE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON JOSE ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT1.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN