000
ABNT20 KNHC 280907
TWOAT 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
510 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE LOW NEAR BERMUDA

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY
NEW JERSEY.

A TROPICAL WAVE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

UPDATED...SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SMALL LOW PRESSURE
AREA LOCATED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA HAS
INCREASED THIS MORNING.  WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE TODAY BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME EVEN LESS
FAVORABLE.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT
BERMUDA TODAY...AND INTERESTS ON BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/CANGIALOSI