000
ABNT20 KNHC 231149
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IRENE LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION.  WHILE THE LOW IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH TOWARD WARMER
WATERS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT CURRENTLY WELL
ORGANIZED...UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS FAVOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE