000
ABNT20 KNHC 221751
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 22 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IRENE LOCATED 50 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...AND HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HARVEY WHICH HAS DISSIPATED OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION IN RECENT HOURS.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS LOW WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES OVER MARGINALLY WARM
WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO
20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE