000
ABNT20 KNHC 221149
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE IRENE LOCATED 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAN
JUAN PUERTO RICO...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY LOCATED ABOUT
55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE
NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE LIMITED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS LOW WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES OVER MARGINALLY WARM
WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS MODERATELY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE