000 ABNT20 KNHC 212353 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IRENE LOCATED ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST CROIX AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY LOCATED 60 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO. A LARGE AND ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS UNLIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS OVER COOL WATERS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI