000
ABNT20 KNHC 211752
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HARVEY LOCATED 125 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COATZACOALCOS
MEXICO..AND ON TROPICAL STORM IRENE LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX.

A LARGE AND ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS.  THIS
DISTURBANCE IS CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER WATERS
AND DEVELOPMENT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON IRENE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON IRENE ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT4.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH