000
ABNT20 KNHC 171136
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING PAST
SEVERAL HOURS.  THERE ARE STILL NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION
AND PRESSURES HAVE NOT FALLEN OVER THIS REGION. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN