000
ABNT20 KNHC 170531
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE
CIRCULATION AND PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING IN THIS REGION. THIS WAVE
IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH...AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT BEFORE IT MOVES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA IN A FEW
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI