000
ABNT20 KNHC 162332
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
GERT...WHICH BECAME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. 

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
HISPANIOLA EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH