000
ABNT20 KNHC 161737
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GERT...LOCATED ABOUT 410 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. 

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM HISPANIOLA EASTWARD ACROSS
PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT NEAR 20 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN