000
ABNT20 KNHC 161146
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GERT...LOCATED ABOUT 410 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. 

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A
SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS WAVE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN