000
ABNT20 KNHC 141153
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA. 

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND 
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF A CLOSED
SURFACE CIRCULATION...AND CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO PROXIMITY TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVEN. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING 
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART