000
ABNT20 KNHC 101147
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 10 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WESTWARD SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN.  SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.  

THE REMNANTS OF EMILY ARE LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND...MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20
MPH.  THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...
AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL ZONE. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN