000
ABNT20 KNHC 061741
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR DATA INDICATE
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
EMILY...WHICH IS APPROACHING GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACOS...HAS
CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD BE FORMING.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS EN ROUTE TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HAS FORMED.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND PRODUCE SQUALLS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY.  THIS SYSTEM IS
THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC ON
SUNDAY. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/AVILA