000
ABNT20 KNHC 061140
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF EMILY IS
CENTERED JUST NORTH OF ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.  SATELLITE
IMAGES AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME
A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
LATER TODAY.  THERE IS HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW THIS
AFTERNOON.  EVEN IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINAL...AND DO NOT FAVOR
SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SQUALLS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD
OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BRENNAN