000
ABNT20 KNHC 051138
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 5 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE TROUGH...THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL STORM EMILY...IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING
FROM EASTERN CUBA NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT ON SATURDAY. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTHWARD AT 15 MPH..

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA