000
ABNT20 KNHC 050542
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 5 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL STORM EMILY...A SURFACE TROUGH...ARE
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM JAMAICA
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN CUBA...HISPANIOLA...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. 
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME...AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
RE-DEVELOPMENT TODAY.  HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE FAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT BY SATURDAY.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN