000
ABNT20 KNHC 240536
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING A LARGE
BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA.  SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
NEAR 20 MPH AND INTERACTS WITH THE LAND MASSES OF HISPANIOLA AND
CUBA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.   THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE DAY AND ARE LIKELY TO
SPREAD ACROSS JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA LATER TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG