000 ABNT20 KNHC 232316 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AS WELL AS THE INTERACTION OF THE DISTURBANCE WITH THE LAND MASSES OF HISPANIOLA AND CUBA...ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NEVERTHELESS...PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA THROUGH SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN