000
ABNT20 KNHC 231732
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FAR EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY DUE TO
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE AND INTERACTION WITH
HISPANIOLA BY SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
SUNDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE