000
ABNT20 KNHC 231142
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  THERE ARE NO
SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT ON SUNDAY.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...BRIEF PERIODS
OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS
OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY...AND OVER PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE