000 ABNT20 KNHC 161739 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FROM THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART 000 ABNT20 KNHC 161739 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING FRONTAL SYSTEM IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FROM THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART