000 ABNT20 KNHC 120535 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED...BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE REGION...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS... BELIZE...AND ADJACENT OFFSHORE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART 000 ABNT20 KNHC 120535 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED...BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE REGION...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS... BELIZE...AND ADJACENT OFFSHORE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART