000 ABNT20 KNHC 011748 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE REMNANTS OF ARLENE CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO OR INLAND OVER MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR INFORMATION ON THE CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...PLEASE REFER TO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG 000 ABNT20 KNHC 011748 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE REMNANTS OF ARLENE CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO OR INLAND OVER MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR INFORMATION ON THE CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...PLEASE REFER TO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG