000
ABNT20 KNHC 071133
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND
THE AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELED.  THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF
HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...JAMAICA...AND CUBA AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN