000
ABNT20 KNHC 040547
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ROUGHLY A HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF JAMAICA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY CONDUCIVE
FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER
PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...JAMAICA...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE