000
ABNT20 KNHC 031138
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND JAMAICA
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE REGION OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME.  HEAVY
RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF
HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ABOUT 325 MILES EAST OF THE MEXICAN COAST IS PRODUCING LIMITED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG