000
ABNT20 KNHC 222131
TWOAT 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
430 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING
THE DAY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THEY ARE FORECAST TO BECOME HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A SUBTROPICAL
OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THAT TIME.  THE LOW IS NOW MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH...AND A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED
BY THE NHC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT2 AND WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.  ADDITIONAL SPECIAL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN