000
ABNT20 KNHC 221247
TWOAT 

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
850 AM EDT FRI APR 22 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
385 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH WINDS NEAR THE SYSTEM APPEAR TO HAVE
DECREASED BELOW GALE FORCE. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. THE LOW IS
MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 MPH BUT SHOULD SLOW DOWN LATER TODAY.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NHC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
BRANCH...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT2 AND WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.
ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS
NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA