000
ABNT20 KNHC 290546
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 29 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL STORM SHARY LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA.  

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...VENEZUELA...AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GUYANA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE
NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TODAY...AND THERE IS A LOW 
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON SHARY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT35 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT5. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON SHARY ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMAT5. 

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN