000
ABNT20 KNHC 230551
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM RICHARD...LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM PASSING WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAVE BECOME LESS
ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS 
CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE.  THERE IS 
A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CAPE VERDE 
ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY AS THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
TO NORTH AT 15 MPH.

A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN