000
ABNT20 KNHC 160546
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT OCT 16 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA IS
LOCATED BETWEEN THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA AND ANDROS ISLAND IN
THE BAHAMAS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE
FOR REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES EASTWARD TO
SOUTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE.  SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN